New Free & Easy Eco Event!

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Spring cleaning is upon us and it's the perfect time to declutter!
Swing by our donation event, drop off items you no longer
need, and we'll handle the rest-hassle free!

Saturday, May 10th

9am - 12pm

(or until the truck is full!)

If we fill the truck, we receive $300, which will be donated to the Windermere Foundation. We hope to see you there!

Drop items at:
Windermere Bellevue South
14405 SE 36TH ST, Bellevue

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Free & Easy Shred Event 2025

Join us again at our annual Free & Easy shred event!

Timed just after tax season for a reason! Now's the perfect time to clear out clutter-safely dispose of old receipts, statements, bills, and legal documents. Any unwanted paper items are welcome!

Simply drop it off at the Windermere Bellevue South Office and leave worry-free.

See you on April 26th!
10am-1pm at Windermere Bellevue South:
14405 SE 36th St. #100

Can't make the 26th?

Drop off at our Issaquah Office on the 19th instead!

10am-2pm at Windermere Issaquah
1810 15th Pl NW

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Charming Columbia City Condo

5220 42nd Avenue S #203, Seattle WA

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1 BED  |  1 BATH  | 657 SQFT

Big congrats to our first-time homebuyer on snagging this charming Columbia City condo! 

We negotiated terms to lower her interest rate for the first two years, making homeownership more affordable. Buying a first home can feel overwhelming, but we're here for our clients every step of the way to make it smooth & stress-free. 

Plus, with great neighborhood dining & pubs just a short walk away, there's so much to love about this new home. 

Cheers to new beginnings! If you're looking for a place to start, let us show you how we can help.

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Beautiful & Convenient in Finn Hill

7401 NE 121st St, Kirkland

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4 BEDS  |  2.5 BATHS  |  2,250 SQFT  |  OFFERED AT $1,335,000

Welcome to Kirkland's Finn Hill Neighborhood. Spacious, charming, & inviting!

This home's main floor boasts a remodeled kitchen, refinished hardwoods, & living and family rooms, each with a cozy brick fireplace. The family room flows into the eating area with a sunny bay window & opens to a large deck-ideal for entertaining or enjoying sunny afternoons! 

Two bedrooms, a ¾ bath, & a primary suite with a full ensuite complete this level. Downstairs offers another spacious family room with a third fireplace, a craft room, workshop, & office/bedroom. 

Outside, gather around the fire pit for cozy evenings, tend to the raised garden beds, or unwind on the lush lawn-perfect for play, pets, or future projects. An oversized 2-car garage & abundant storage make this home as practical as it is welcoming!

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One of a Kind Somerset Oasis

14224 SE 45th Pl, Bellevue WA

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4 BEDS  |  2.5 BATHS  |  2,350 SQFT  |  OFFERED AT $1,788,000

One-of-a-kind Somerset oasis. Surrounded by lush greenery, this bright, inviting home brings the outside in with walls of windows, vaulted ceilings & an abundance of natural light. Two welcoming living areas, each with a gas fireplace, offer flexible spaces to relax or entertain and seamlessly flow into the kitchen, dining area & private patio. Upstairs boasts three decks, including one off the spacious primary suite with

a walk-in closet & ensuite bath. Three additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for everyone. A hop, skip & jump from Somerset Elementary, a prime location in a top school district. Tyee Middle & Newport HS. This home offers comfort, privacy & convenience.

Central AC/heat ensures year-round comfort. Don't miss this gem!

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Multi-Generational Living:
Spacious in Somerset

13800 SE 43rd Street, Bellevue, WA

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5 BEDS  |  3.5 BATHS  |  4,758 SQFT  |  OFFERED AT $2,399,000

Stunning Somerset home with oversized, light-filled spaces & a private outlook, offering seasonal lake, mountain & city views surrounded by lush trees. The main floor features spacious formal & informal spaces-perfect for everything from quiet weeknights to hosting large holiday meals. Main floor primary bedroom with expansive ensuite bath & closet. The lower level has a studio with kitchenette & bedroom. Great for generational living or WFH office. Three add'l bedrooms & a large bonus room, perfect for gatherings, gaming or play. A fun yard to fuel the imagination. This home has AC for hot summer days & a generator for blustery weather. A must-see property that offers both privacy & convenience. Award-winning Somerset/Tyee/Newport schools.

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Join us for our Annual Recycling Event.

AUGUST 24TH 2024 – 10:00 AM – 1:00 PM

Easy Drive-thru and Drop Off at WINDERMERE – BELLEVUE SOUTH

14405 SE 36th Street #100, Bellevue, WA 98006

 

Accepted Items:

Computers | Laptops | LCD Monitors | Keyboards/ Mice Printers/ Scanners | Ink Cartridges | Fax/ Copy (Desktop Size) | Servers/ Routers/ Hubs Networking Devices | Communications Equipment | Televisions | VCRs / DVD Players | Video Game Consoles | Stereos/ Audio | Cell Phones/ Telephones | PDAs / Handheld Games | Cameras | Batteries – Laptop Batteries UPS Batteries – Lithium-Ion | Misc. Household Electronics

 

Items Not Accepted:

Large appliances (washers/dryers, stoves, dishwashers, etc.) | Tube TVs/ Projection TV *Flat screen TVs are accepted* | CRT Monitors | Water Heaters | BBQs | Patio Furniture | Exercise Equipment | Dry Cell Batteries (Ex: A,AA,AAA etc) | Nothing that contains oil or chemicals

A form of cybercrime, wire fraud has led to major losses for homebuyers in recent years. Get to know what it is and what steps you can take to avoid it.

What is wire fraud?

Real estate wire fraud is a scam that targets buyers while making payments during the home buying process. Attackers have taken advantage of the fact that there are several people and entities involved in real estate transactions. Between real estate agents title and escrow companies, mortgage lenders and more, there are many steps, some of which involve sharing financial information and transferring money. This gives ample opportunity for scammers to slip through the cracks somewhere along the line.

The timing of wire fraud is typically during closing using a sophisticated phishing scam. Attackers apply the use of fake emails, phone numbers, or websites, often posing as the buyer’s real estate agent and directing them to allocate funds to a fraudulent account. Because the attacker will have scanned, scrubbed, and lifted your personal information in preparation for the scam, their forms of communication can often look familiar and legitimate.

The mission of the cyberattack is to get your funds into an account the attacker owns. To do this, it is common for them to say that you had previously sent funds incorrectly, that they were never received, that there are new instructions for payment, or that there has been a last-minute change in the closing process. These are all major red flags. It is imperative to take extra caution during the final steps of purchasing a home because transfers, once initiated, are difficult to remedy and can delay your closing process.

How can I avoid wire fraud?

  • Get to know the closing process: Talk with your Windermere agent ahead of time about what to expect throughout the closing process. Discuss payment options with your lender and ask specifically about instructions for wiring funds. It is safer to share this information over the phone than through email, as scammers could accumulate this information to use against you.
  • Record contact information: Keep a list of the personnel involved in your closing process. Beyond your real estate agent, keep a record of contacts at your mortgage lender, title company, and attorney’s office. In the event that someone new reaches out to you with a request, confirm their identity with one of your contacts.
  • Call to confirm: Call to confirm wiring instructions before sending the transaction through. Talk to a trusted representative and ask them to repeat the information to verify its legitimacy. After sending the funds, make same-day follow-up calls to ensure they were received.
  • Trust your gut: If you receive an iffy email or phone call, trust your gut. If something doesn’t feel right, it’s the perfect time to reach out to your contacts, discuss your hesitancy, and get advice before proceeding.

The threat of wire fraud emphasizes the importance of working closely with everyone involved in the purchase of your home. If you believe you have been scammed, contact your bank or wire transfer company immediately and request that they issue a recall notice for your wire. Contact the FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center and report the activity with as much information as you can gather. For more information about how to protect yourself from wire fraud, visit the National Association of Realtors’ Wire Fraud resources page.

 

Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner revisits his Top 10 Predictions for 2023. Reviewing his forecasts for home prices, mortgage rates, and more, he highlights recent changes in the real estate market and updates his predictions for the near future.

This video is the latest in our Monday with Matthew series with Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. Each month, he analyzes the most up-to-date U.S. housing data to keep you well-informed about what’s going on in the real estate market.



Top 10 Real Estate Market Predictions 2023 | Mid-Year Update

Hello there, I’m Windermere Real Estate’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner and welcome to this month’s episode of Monday with Matthew. You may remember that at the end of last year, I published my Top-10 Predictions for 2023 and, as we hit the mid-year mark, some of you have been asking me how well my forecasts have been holding up. So, I thought it would be interesting to take another look at them to see how accurate they have or have not been! These were the predictions I made last November, and they covered everything from my expectations for home sales and prices to shifting government policies.

U.S. Home Sale Prices

A line graph showing the year-over-year U.S. home sale prices from May 2022 to April 2023. The YOY price change drops from 15% to below 0%, while the MOM price change oscillates between roughly 4% and -4.5%, bottoming out in July of 2022.

 

My first forecast suggested that sale prices would fall in 2023; however, I was not expecting any sort of systemic decline in values. Here you can see that year-over-year prices are down by a bit less than 2%, but when you look at how prices have changed month over month, they rose by 3.6% in April and are up by more than 6% since the end of last year.

I stand by my forecast that the median sale price in 2023 will be modestly lower than the 2022 number; and the monthly increase in sale prices that we have seen so far this year also supports my forecast that we are not seeing any long-term decline in home values.

2023 Mortgage Rates

A line graph showing the mortgage rates so far in 2023, peaking above 7% in late February and late May. Otherwise, they have remained between 6% and 7%.

 

Although mortgage rates have broken above 7% eight times so far this year—the first time because of the banking crisis, and the second because of the looming debt ceiling—I expect them to become a little less frantic as we move through the second half of the year. That said, my call for them to drop below 6% this year is now likely to be inaccurate given where they are today. I still expect them to drop into the “fives” though, but not until early next year.

Is housing inventory increasing?

A line graph showing the inventory of homes for sale in the U.S. from January 2020 to March 2023. In million, the number has gradually decreased from just above 1.5 to just above 1.0, bottoming out between January and March 2022 at below 1.0.

 

Listing activity saw a very modest late spring bump, but for perspective, the number of homes for sale is running at about 40% of its long-term average, and I still don’t see much growth this year. Why? Well, by my calculations, there could be over 20 million homeowners with mortgage rates around 3%. Why would they move!

Is 2023 a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A line graph showing the months of inventory for homes between 2017 and 2023, and whether that value corresponds to a seller's market, a balanced market, or a buyer's market. Most of the data points are in the seller's market range for these years, and Matthew Gardner predicts it is unlikely that we'll see a buyer's market in 2023.

 

And with limited inventory, the market still “technically” favors home sellers. Now, this is a little speculative because what defines a traditional “buyer’s” or “seller’s” market varies by location, but with relatively few homes on the market and the share of homes with price reductions dropping and list prices rising again, I just can’t see a buyer’s market appearing this year.

Are home prices falling?

A line graph showing U.S. median list prices for homes between January 2022 and April 2023. Prices were roughly $330,000 in January 2022, climbing to almost $400,000 during summer 2022, bottoming out at below $370,000 around January 2023, and returning to $390,000 by April 2023.

 

Well, this doesn’t look to be meeting my forecasts, does it! Sellers have been pretty bullish so far this year, but I would add that this is not true across the whole country. List prices are still down significantly in markets such as Hailey, Idaho; Jasper, Alabama; and Elko, Nevada, where list prices for single-family homes are down between 30 and 50% from their peak. So, I admit that the country has outperformed my forecast for list prices.

Return to Office Statistics 2023

A graph and table showing the number of U.S. employees subject to newly effective return-to-office mandates. May 2023 has the highest value at nearly 600,000 employees. Matthew Gardner predicts more employees will get clarity on these policies in 2023.

 

As I had expected, the pace of workers heading back to the office has not been very robust. In fact, the share of people in the office full time dropped to 42% in the second quarter of 2023, down from 49% in the first quarter, that according to The Flex Report. Meanwhile, the share of offices with hybrid work arrangements hit 30% in the quarter, up from 20% the previous quarter. But I still expect to see more workers heading back to their offices, albeit very reluctantly.

New Home Permits and Starts Have Fallen 

A line graph showing the number (in thousands) of U.S. single-family new home starts from January 2021 to March 2023. The numbers have almost entirely stayed in the 800-1,200 range, peaking above 1,200 in March 2021 and certain points between November and March 2022. In March 2023, the number of starts sat at just above 800,000.

 

With new home permits down 21% year-over-year, and new home starts off by 28%, I think its accurate to say that activity in the new construction sector has slowed. Builders continue to be hit by high financing rates as well as high material prices.

Are U.S. home prices dropping?

A map graphic showing 2023 U.S. home sale prices relative to their 2022 highs for select cities. Johnstown, PA has the greatest difference at -39.1% and Duluth has the least at -19.6%. Overall, Matthew predicts that the markets where home prices rose the fastest in recent years will experience a downturn.

 

As we all know, not all markets are created equal, and this chart shows how far below their 2022 highs some of the country’s metro areas are. On the opposite end of the spectrum, there are some markets where prices have already exceeded the highs seen last year (see map below).

 

A map graphic showing 2023 U.S. home sale prices relative to their 2022 highs, specifically some markets where prices have already exceeded the highs seen last year: Pueblo, El Paso, Hilo, and others.

 

Housing Affordability 2023

A line graph showing a homeownership affordability index from January 2020 to March 2023. The affordability line sits at 100. From January 2020 to May 2021, the trend line was above 100. It consistently dipped after that until January 2023, sitting just below 80.

 

Affordability has not improved, mainly due to home prices that remain out of sync with incomes as well as financing costs that remain well above the level that buyers had become used to. I still believe that this will not improve in 2023.

 

A power point slide showing recent changes in support of zoning changes including House Bill 1110, The New York Housing Compact, Florida SB-88, and the Make Virginia Home Plan.

 

And finally, I told you that governments would start to move to address the significant housing shortage that the country is experiencing, and they have. As you can see, in Washington State, Governor Inslee recently signed House Bill 1110 into law which allows the development of duplex up to six-unit buildings within any area zoned for single-family-only development. Additionally, jurisdictions in a significant number of states are either pursuing legislation to tackle this problem or have at least created task forces to look at the issue. It’s a good start, but more needs to be done.

Although it’s really cheating to grade one’s own work, I think that I have been pretty accurate with my forecasts. Yes, I was too pessimistic when it came to list prices and a little optimistic regarding the direction of mortgage rates. But other than those two items, the data seems to suggest that the housing market is headed in the direction that I had suggested.

What do you think? I’d love to hear your thoughts on this subject so leave your comments below. As always, stay safe out there and I’ll see you all next month. Bye now.

To see the latest real estate market data for your area, visit our quarterly Market Updates page.


About Matthew Gardner

As Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, Matthew Gardner is responsible for analyzing and interpreting economic data and its impact on the real estate market on both a local and national level. Matthew has over 30 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.

In addition to his day-to-day responsibilities, Matthew sits on the Washington State Governors Council of Economic Advisors; chairs the Board of Trustees at the Washington Center for Real Estate Research at the University of Washington; and is an Advisory Board Member at the Runstad Center for Real Estate Studies at the University of Washington where he also lectures in real estate economics.

Thinking about selling your home? You’ve likely got a thousand questions swimming around in your head, but there’s one that tends to stick out in homeowners’ minds above the others: What’s my home worth? Your real estate agent will be your greatest resource in answering this question once you’ve decided you’re ready to sell your home, but knowing how to research home prices on your own beforehand will help to inform those conversations. Here are some of the ways you can make good use of your time before you put your home on the market.

What’s your home worth?

Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) are a great first step in understanding home value but aren’t nearly as comprehensive as your agent’s market analysis. They compare your home against other comparable listings in your area to estimate your home’s selling price. Windermere’s Home Worth Calculator evaluates your property and the surrounding market to give you an idea of what your home is worth. Try it here:

How to Research Home Prices

Though AVMs help you research home prices, to say they’re 100% accurate is one of the most common myths of the selling process. To fully understand what your home is worth, you need a real estate agent’s expertise. They’ll conduct a comprehensive Comparative Market Analysis (CMA) to accurately and competitively price your home. An agent’s CMA compares your home to similar listings in your area, sifting through tons of data on the Multiple Listing Service (MLS), a huge network where agents can share information regarding available listings. Here, your agent can maximize the visibility of your listing and easily connect with buyer’s agents to start a conversation about buying your home.

A Black woman real estate agent is showing research on home prices to her client who is looking to sell their home.

Local Real Estate Market Conditions

Your local real estate market conditions should be a point of emphasis in your pre-selling research. Generally speaking, there are three types of markets you could be faced with as a seller: a seller’s marketa buyer’s market, and a balanced market. Each market will have different implications for how you and your agent approach negotiations, how you interpret buyers’ offers, and your philosophy regarding the terms of common real estate contingencies tied to different offers. And maybe of greatest relevance to you, knowing more about your local market conditions will help you understand a bit more about what price your home could sell for. To see the latest housing data on home prices, home sales, and more in your area, visit our Market Updates page:

Finding the Right Agent

Besides all the number-crunching, some of the most helpful research you can do on your own is finding the right real estate agent. Getting referrals from family members or friends is a great starting point, but it’s still worth it to make sure the agent is right for you. Yes, their business acumen should be a priority, but remember that you’ll be together through all the ups and downs of the selling process, so it’s just as important that you connect on a personal level as well. If you’re looking for an agent with a specific specialty, identify professionals that have the certifications and designations to match.

Once you’re ready to sell your home, connect with a local Windermere real estate agent to begin your selling journey!